S · pick 4 — first ever safety at #4 (1981)

S·pick 4

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #4

Kenny Easley

Drafted by SEA — GM John Thompson · UCLA

1981

safeties drafted at #4 in NFL history

most recent: Charles Woodson (LV, 1998)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a safety at #4 a 1.7% chance in 1981.

Safety at #4, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.8% · 2027 model: 2.8%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

#1RBGeorge RogersNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff
#2LBLawrence TaylorNYG — GM George Young
#3RBFreeman McNeilNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#5LBE.J. JuniorARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#6QBRich CampbellGB — GM Bart Starr
#7LBHugh GreenTB — GM Phil Krueger
#8SRonnie LottSF — GM John McVay
#9LBMel OwensLAR — GM Don Klosterman

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1998Charles WoodsonLV — GM Al Davis era · Michigan

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