Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 33

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #33

Charlie West

Drafted by MIN · Texas–El Paso

1968

8
safeties drafted at #33 in NFL history
most recent: Landon Collins (NYG, 2015)

Editor's note

First pick of round two

33 is the most slept-on slot in the modern draft. A round-1-caliber player slips, round 1 closes, your team picks first the next morning. The defensive backs eat here. Pre-1994 round-1 boundaries floated from 26 to 30, so the analogous cell shifted year to year — but the 'first pick of day two' bargain has always lived a few slots past the end of round 1.

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Safety at #33, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.2%

Peak: 14.2% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 1968 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart