S · pick 31 — first ever safety at #31 (1977)

S·pick 31

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #31

Nolan Cromwell

Drafted by LAR · Kansas

1977

safeties drafted at #31 in NFL history

most recent: Kenny Phillips (NYG, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a safety at #31 a 5.2% chance in 1977.

Safety at #31, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.1% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#26WRRandy BurkeIND
#27QBTommy KramerMIN
#28DEEzra JohnsonGB
#29LBDave LewisTB
#30OTTom LynchSEA
#32WRJohnny PerkinsNYG
#33WRWesley WalkerNYJ
#34DTMike FultzNO
#35SMike DavisLV
#36OGR. C. ThielemannATL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2008Kenny PhillipsNYG — GM Jerry Reese · Miami (FL)

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