S · pick 30 — first ever safety at #30 (2015)

S·pick 30

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #30

Damarious Randall

Drafted by GB — GM Ted Thompson · Arizona St.

2015

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2014, the model gave a safety at #30 a 9.1% chance in 2015.

Safety at #30, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.0% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 2015 draft

#25LBShaq ThompsonCAR — GM Dave Gettleman
#26WRBreshad PerrimanBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#27CBByron JonesDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#28OGLaken TomlinsonDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#29WRPhillip DorsettIND — GM Ryan Grigson
#31LBStephone AnthonyNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#32DTMalcom BrownNE — GM Bill Belichick
#33SLandon CollinsNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#34OTDonovan SmithTB — GM Jason Licht
#35DTMario EdwardsLV — GM Reggie McKenzie

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart