S · pick 29 — first ever safety at #29 (1972)

S·pick 29

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #29

Tommy Casanova

Drafted by CIN · LSU

1972

safeties drafted at #29 in NFL history

most recent: Harrison Smith (MIN, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a safety at #29 a 4.2% chance in 1972.

Safety at #29, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.9% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

#24DELarry JacobsonNYG
#25DTMike KadishMIA
#26RBBill ThomasDAL
#27OGReggie McKenzieBUF
#28SRalph McGillSF
#30RBJim BertelsenLAR
#31LBWillie HallNO
#32LBMark ArnesonARI
#33OTKelvin KorverLV
#34STChester MarcolGB

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2012Harrison SmithMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Notre Dame
1993George TeagueGB — GM Ron Wolf · Alabama
1981Russell GaryNO — GM Ken Meyer/staff · Nebraska

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