S · pick 259 — first ever safety at #259 (2022)

S·pick 259

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #259

Nazeeh Johnson

Drafted by KC — GM Brett Veach · Marshall

2022

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2021, the model gave a safety at #259 a 7.5% chance in 2022.

Safety at #259, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 21.1% · 2027 model: 5.8%

Surrounding picks · 2022 draft

#254SElijah HicksCHI — GM Ryan Poles
#255STTrenton GillCHI — GM Ryan Poles
#256LBJesse LuketaARI — GM Steve Keim
#257OGMarquis HayesARI — GM Steve Keim
#258WRSamori ToureGB — GM Brian Gutekunst
#260RBZander HorvathLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#261OTAJ ArcuriLAR — GM Les Snead
#262QBBrock PurdySF — GM John Lynch

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart