S · pick 256 — first ever safety at #256 (2014)

S·pick 256

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #256

Lonnie Ballentine

Drafted by HOU — GM Rick Smith · Memphis

2014

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2013, the model gave a safety at #256 a 8.2% chance in 2014.

Safety at #256, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 20.5% · 2027 model: 5.7%

🟡 Mr. Irrelevant cell

Last pick of the draft in 1 year.

2014 Lonnie Ballentine (HOU)

Surrounding picks · 2014 draft

#251DTKen BishopDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#252CBLavelle WestbrooksCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#253LBYawin SmallwoodATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#254CBTerrance MitchellDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#255LBTyler StarrATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart