S · pick 252 — first ever safety at #252 (2003)

S·pick 252

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #252

Willie Pile

Drafted by KC — GM Carl Peterson · Virginia Tech

2003

safeties drafted at #252 in NFL history

most recent: Josh Furman (DEN, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a safety at #252 a 7.4% chance in 2003.

Safety at #252, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.9% · 2027 model: 5.7%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#247RBCasey MooreCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#248DTDavern WilliamsMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#249OGWayne LucierNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#250CMike MabryBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#251LBScott ShanleLAR — GM Charley Armey
#253WRDeAndrew RubinGB — GM Mike Sherman
#254TERichard AnguloLAR — GM Charley Armey
#255WRKevin WalterNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#256WRCarl FordGB — GM Mike Sherman
#257LBSteve JosueGB — GM Mike Sherman

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2015Josh FurmanDEN — GM John Elway · Oklahoma St.

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