S · pick 251 — first ever safety at #251 (2010)

S·pick 251

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #251

Stevie Brown

Drafted by LV — GM Al Davis era · Michigan

2010

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2009, the model gave a safety at #251 a 7.5% chance in 2010.

Safety at #251, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.7% · 2027 model: 5.7%

Surrounding picks · 2010 draft

#246CBRay FisherIND — GM Bill Polian
#247DEBrandon DeaderickNE — GM Bill Belichick
#248DTKade WestonNE — GM Bill Belichick
#249CBRobert McClainCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#250QBZac RobinsonNE — GM Bill Belichick
#252LBAustin SpitlerMIA — GM Jeff Ireland
#253DEErik LorigTB — GM Mark Dominik
#254LBJosh HullLAR — GM Billy Devaney
#255WRTim TooneDET — GM Martin Mayhew

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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