Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 250

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #250

Don Jones

Drafted by MIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Arkansas St.

2013

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2012, the model gave a safety at #250 a 7.7% chance in 2013.

Safety at #250, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.5% 2013: 7.7%

Peak: 19.5% · 2027 model: 5.7%

Surrounding picks · 2013 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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