S · pick 249 — first ever safety at #249 (1996)

S·pick 249

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #249

Eric Smedley

Drafted by BUF — GM John Butler · Indiana

1996

safeties drafted at #249 in NFL history

most recent: Brian Cole II (MIN, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a safety at #249 a 7.9% chance in 1996.

Safety at #249, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.4% · 2027 model: 5.7%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#243RBRyan WoodDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#244TEJay RiemersmaBUF — GM John Butler
#246TEHenry LuskNO — GM Bill Kuharich
#247OGJ.R. ConradNE — GM Bill Parcells
#248OGJoey WylieLV — GM Al Davis era
#250WRDeAndre MaxwellWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#251WRBrice HunterMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#252DEKeith McKenzieGB — GM Ron Wolf
#253RBMichael HicksCHI — GM Rod Graves
#254LBSam ManuelSF — GM Carmen Policy

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2020Brian Cole IIMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Mississippi St.
2008Chris HortonWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato · UCLA

→ see this cell on the full chart