S · pick 248 — first ever safety at #248 (2011)

S·pick 248

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #248

Eric Hagg

Drafted by CLE — GM Tom Heckert · Nebraska

2011

safeties drafted at #248 in NFL history

most recent: Brandon Hill (HOU, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a safety at #248 a 7.4% chance in 2011.

Safety at #248, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.2% · 2027 model: 5.7%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#243LBNate BusseyNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#244OTLee ZiembaCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#245DTMichael JasperBUF — GM Buddy Nix
#246RBJay FinleyCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#247DTJeremy BealDEN — GM John Elway
#249WRDeMarco SampsonARI — GM Rod Graves
#250CBCurtis HolcombSF — GM Trent Baalke
#251CBTommie CampbellTEN — GM Ruston Webster
#252OGBill NagyDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#253DTChris NeildWAS — GM Bruce Allen

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2023Brandon HillHOU — GM Nick Caserio · Pittsburgh
2015Ryan MurphySEA — GM John Schneider · Oregon St.
2014Ahmad DixonDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Baylor
2013Daimion StaffordTEN — GM Ruston Webster · Nebraska

→ see this cell on the full chart