S · pick 243 — first ever safety at #243 (2013)

S·pick 243

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #243

Kemal Ishmael

Drafted by ATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff · Central Florida

2013

safeties drafted at #243 in NFL history

most recent: James Wiggins (ARI, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2012, the model gave a safety at #243 a 8.0% chance in 2013.

Safety at #243, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 5.6%

Surrounding picks · 2013 draft

#238WRAaron MelletteBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#239DEDavid KingPHI — GM Howie Roseman
#240OGReid FragelCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#241DTJared SmithSEA — GM John Schneider
#242OTMichael BowieSEA — GM John Schneider
#244SZeke MottaATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#245LBBrandon HepburnDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#246OGCarter BykowskiSF — GM Trent Baalke
#247CBMarc AnthonyBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#248SDaimion StaffordTEN — GM Ruston Webster

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2021James WigginsARI — GM Steve Keim · Cincinnati
2020Chris JacksonTEN — GM Jon Robinson · Marshall
2019Nick ScottLAR — GM Les Snead · Penn St.

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