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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 240

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #240

Charles Drake

Drafted by NYG — GM Ernie Accorsi · Michigan

2003

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a safety at #240 a 7.9% chance in 2003.

Safety at #240, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.2% 2003: 7.9%

Peak: 18.2% · 2027 model: 5.6%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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