S · pick 230 — first ever safety at #230 (2017)

S·pick 230

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #230

Josh Harvey-Clemons

Drafted by WAS — GM Bruce Allen · Louisville

2017

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2016, the model gave a safety at #230 a 8.6% chance in 2017.

Safety at #230, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.1% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 2017 draft

#225DTIsaac RochellLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#226WRDavid MooreSEA — GM John Schneider
#227LBJosh CarrawayTEN — GM Jon Robinson
#228DTJoey IvieDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#229SAdrian ColbertSF — GM John Lynch
#231OTJylan WareLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#232LBElijah LeeMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#233STHarrison ButkerCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#234DEEjuan PriceLAR — GM Les Snead
#235CBJoshua HolseyWAS — GM Bruce Allen

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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