S · pick 226 — first ever safety at #226 (1998)

S·pick 226

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #226

Pat Tillman

Drafted by ARI — GM Bob Ferguson · Arizona St.

1998

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a safety at #226 a 9.2% chance in 1998.

Safety at #226, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.8% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

#221DEAngel RubioPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#222TEDamian VaughnCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#223RBTarik SmithDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#224RBErnest BlackwellKC — GM Carl Peterson
#225CBTony DardenMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#227OGAntonio FlemingDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#228WRJim TurnerCAR — GM Dom Anile
#229CKevin LongTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#230DEVincent AmeyLV — GM Al Davis era
#231SCorey GainesIND — GM Bill Polian

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart