S · pick 225 — first ever safety at #225 (1997)

S·pick 225

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #225

Byron Capers

Drafted by PHI — GM Tom Modrak · Florida St.

1997

safeties drafted at #225 in NFL history

most recent: Rashidi Barnes (CLE, 2000)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a safety at #225 a 8.1% chance in 1997.

Safety at #225, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.7% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

#220LBArtie UlmerMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#221LBJon HesseJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#222SChris BayneATL — GM Harold Richardson
#223WRMike AdamsPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#224SOmar StoutmireDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#226TEPat FitzgeraldBUF — GM John Butler
#227CBDeAuntae BrownPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#228TEKris MangumCAR — GM Bill Polian
#229DTJason FergusonNYJ — GM Bill Parcells
#230OGScott RehbergNE — GM Bobby Grier

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2000Rashidi BarnesCLE — GM Dwight Clark · Colorado

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