S · pick 221 — first ever safety at #221 (1996)

S·pick 221

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #221

Reggie Rusk

Drafted by TB — GM Rich McKay · Kentucky

1996

safeties drafted at #221 in NFL history

most recent: Shalom Luani (LV, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1995, the model gave a safety at #221 a 8.1% chance in 1996.

Safety at #221, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.4% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 1996 draft

#216TELovett PurnellNE — GM Bill Parcells
#217WRDonnell BakerCAR — GM Bill Polian
#218RBMike ArchieTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#219OTRod JonesCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#220LBSedric ClarkLV — GM Al Davis era
#222DTChuck OsborneLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#223OGJon MerrillMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#224CDarius SmithLV — GM Al Davis era
#225DEJohnie ChurchSEA — GM Mike Allman
#226OGChris BanksDEN — GM Mike Shanahan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2017Shalom LuaniLV — GM Reggie McKenzie · Washington St.

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