S · pick 22 — first ever safety at #22 (1967)

S·pick 22

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #22

John Pitts

Drafted by BUF · Arizona State

1967 · earliest year in the data window

safeties drafted at #22 in NFL history

most recent: Tebucky Jones (NE, 1998)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Safety at #22, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.0% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#17OGGene UpshawLV
#18LBBob MathesonCLE
#19RBHarry JonesPHI
#20RBJim DetwilerIND
#21CBJohn CharlesNE
#23OGTom RegnerTEN
#24DTGene TroschKC
#25QBDon HornGB
#26RBLeslie KelleyNO
#27SBo BurrisNO

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1998Tebucky JonesNE — GM Bobby Grier · Syracuse

→ see this cell on the full chart