S · pick 217 — first ever safety at #217 (2003)

S·pick 217

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #217

Curry Burns

Drafted by HOU — GM Charley Casserly · Louisville

2003

safeties drafted at #217 in NFL history

most recent: Jordan Bernstine (WAS, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a safety at #217 a 8.6% chance in 2003.

Safety at #217, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.1% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

#212OTBrennan CurtinGB — GM Mike Sherman
#213SYeremiah BellMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#214DTKeith WrightHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#215OTScott KooistraCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#216OTBen JohnsonDET — GM Matt Millen
#218RBMalaefou MacKenzieJAX — GM James Harris
#219OGJustin BatesDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#220CBBlue AdamsDET — GM Matt Millen
#221WRKeenan HowryMIN — GM Mike Tice / Brzezinski
#222STJosh BrownSEA — GM Mike Holmgren

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2012Jordan BernstineWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Iowa

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