S · pick 216 — first ever safety at #216 (1997)

S·pick 216

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #216

Armon Williams

Drafted by TEN — GM Floyd Reese · Arizona

1997

safeties drafted at #216 in NFL history

most recent: Kamren Curl (WAS, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a safety at #216 a 8.2% chance in 1997.

Safety at #216, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.0% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

#211CBCarlos JonesSEA — GM Mike Allman
#212DTMark SmithARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#213WRChris MillerGB — GM Ron Wolf
#214OTNathan ParksKC — GM Carl Peterson
#215DECedric WhiteLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt
#217DTWilliam CarrCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#218LBToran JamesLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#220LBArtie UlmerMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#221LBJon HesseJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#222SChris BayneATL — GM Harold Richardson

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2020Kamren CurlWAS — GM Ron Rivera · Arkansas
2014Andre HalHOU — GM Rick Smith · Vanderbilt
2012D.J. CampbellCAR — GM Marty Hurney · California
1999Anthony PoindexterBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Virginia

→ see this cell on the full chart