S · pick 214 — first ever safety at #214 (1995)

S·pick 214

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #214

Gerald McBurrows

Drafted by LAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt · Kansas

1995

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a safety at #214 a 8.3% chance in 1995.

Safety at #214, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.8% · 2027 model: 5.5%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

#209SChad CotaCAR — GM Bill Polian
#210RBKevin BouiePHI — GM Tom Modrak
#211SC.J. RichardsonTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#212WRBilly WilliamsARI — GM Larry Wilson
#213QBJohn WalshCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#215OTSteve IngramTB — GM Rich McKay
#216DEKeif BryantSEA — GM Mike Allman
#217WRCurtis CeaserNYJ — GM Steve Gutman / Pat Kirwan
#218LBSteve RussDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#219WRCurtis MarshJAX — GM Tom Coughlin

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart