S · pick 209 — first ever safety at #209 (1995)

S·pick 209

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #209

Chad Cota

Drafted by CAR — GM Bill Polian · Oregon

1995

safeties drafted at #209 in NFL history

most recent: Chad Williams (BAL, 2002)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a safety at #209 a 8.4% chance in 1995.

Safety at #209, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.5% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

#203WREddie GoinesSEA — GM Mike Allman
#204DEJamal DuffNYG — GM George Young
#206RBCharles WayNYG — GM George Young
#207DTTom BarndtKC — GM Carl Peterson
#208RBFred McCraryPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#210RBKevin BouiePHI — GM Tom Modrak
#211SC.J. RichardsonTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#212WRBilly WilliamsARI — GM Larry Wilson
#213QBJohn WalshCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#214SGerald McBurrowsLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2002Chad WilliamsBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Southern Miss
1996T.J. CunninghamSEA — GM Mike Allman · Colorado

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