S · pick 207 — first ever safety at #207 (2006)

S·pick 207

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #207

Antoine Bethea

Drafted by IND — GM Bill Polian · Howard

2006

safeties drafted at #207 in NFL history

most recent: Myron Rolle (TEN, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a safety at #207 a 8.4% chance in 2006.

Safety at #207, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.3% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

#202TET.J. WilliamsTB — GM Bruce Allen
#203STSam KochBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#204DTLaJuan RamseyPHI — GM Tom Heckert
#205OGDan StevensonNE — GM Bill Belichick
#206DTLe Kevin SmithNE — GM Bill Belichick
#208CBDerrick MartinBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#209WREthan KilmerCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#210OGZach StriefNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#211OTPat McQuistanDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#212DTFred EvansMIA — GM Randy Mueller

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2010Myron RolleTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt · Florida St.

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