S · pick 203 — first ever safety at #203 (2007)

S·pick 203

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #203

Daren Stone

Drafted by ATL — GM Rich McKay · Maine

2007

safeties drafted at #203 in NFL history

most recent: Jason McCourty (TEN, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a safety at #203 a 8.3% chance in 2007.

Safety at #203, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.1% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

#198CDoug DatishATL — GM Rich McKay
#199CDrew MorminoMIA — GM Randy Mueller
#200DEMelila PurcellCLE — GM Phil Savage
#201CBRashad BarksdalePHI — GM Tom Heckert
#202CBMike RichardsonNE — GM Bill Belichick
#204DEJacob FordTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt
#205QBJordan PalmerWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#206CBRyan SmithTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt
#207LBPrescott BurgessBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#208RBJustise HairstonNE — GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2009Jason McCourtyTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt · Rutgers

→ see this cell on the full chart