S · pick 202 — first ever safety at #202 (1997)

S·pick 202

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #202

Steve Rosga

Drafted by NYJ — GM Bill Parcells · Colorado

1997

safeties drafted at #202 in NFL history

most recent: Jordan Pugh (CAR, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a safety at #202 a 8.3% chance in 1997.

Safety at #202, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.0% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

#197WRNigea CarterTB — GM Rich McKay
#198DTEd JasperPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#199DERod ManuelPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#200LBRichard HogansCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#201SRicky ParkerCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#203CBHudhaifa IsmaeliMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#204QBTony GrazianiATL — GM Harold Richardson
#205DEChris WardBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#206RBTerry BattleDET — GM Chuck Schmidt
#207QBKoy DetmerPHI — GM Tom Modrak

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2010Jordan PughCAR — GM Marty Hurney · Texas A&M
2001Renaldo HillARI — GM Bob Ferguson · Michigan St.

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