S · pick 201 — first ever safety at #201 (1997)

S·pick 201

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #201

Ricky Parker

Drafted by CHI — GM Mark Hatley · San Diego St.

1997

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a safety at #201 a 8.3% chance in 1997.

Safety at #201, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.9% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

#196DEShawn SwaydaCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#197WRNigea CarterTB — GM Rich McKay
#198DTEd JasperPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#199DERod ManuelPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#200LBRichard HogansCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#202SSteve RosgaNYJ — GM Bill Parcells
#203CBHudhaifa IsmaeliMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#204QBTony GrazianiATL — GM Harold Richardson
#205DEChris WardBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#206RBTerry BattleDET — GM Chuck Schmidt

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart