S · pick 2 — first ever safety at #2 (1991)

S·pick 2

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #2

Eric Turner

Drafted by CLE — GM Bill Belichick · UCLA

1991

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a safety at #2 a 3.3% chance in 1991.

Safety at #2, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.7% · 2027 model: 1.7%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

#1DTRussell MarylandDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#3CBBruce PickensATL — GM Ken Herock
#4LBMike CroelDEN — GM John Beake
#5CBTodd LyghtLAR — GM John Shaw
#6DTEric SwannARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#7OTCharles McRaeTB — GM Phil Krueger

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart