S · pick 197 — first ever safety at #197 (2009)

S·pick 197

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #197

Stephen Hodge

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · TCU

2009

safeties drafted at #197 in NFL history

most recent: Derron Smith (CIN, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2008, the model gave a safety at #197 a 8.3% chance in 2009.

Safety at #197, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.7% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 2009 draft

#192RBAaron BrownDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#193OGMatt SlausonNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#194WRBrandon GibsonPHI — GM Tom Heckert
#195RBJames DavisCLE — GM George Kokinis
#196QBKeith NullLAR — GM Billy Devaney
#198CJake IngramNE — GM Bill Belichick
#199DEStryker SulakLV — GM Al Davis era
#200CBDeAndre WrightNYG — GM Jerry Reese
#201QBCurtis PainterIND — GM Bill Polian
#202TEBrandon MyersLV — GM Al Davis era

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2015Derron SmithCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Fresno St.
2012Nate EbnerNE — GM Bill Belichick · Ohio St.

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