S · pick 196 — first ever safety at #196 (1993)

S·pick 196

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #196

Brock Marion

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · Nevada

1993

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1992, the model gave a safety at #196 a 9.4% chance in 1993.

Safety at #196, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.6% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 1993 draft

#191LBDavid MerrittMIA — GM Don Shula
#192QBGino TorrettaMIN — GM Roger Headrick
#193SOthello HendersonNO — GM Jim Finks
#194DETroy WilsonSF — GM John McVay
#195WRWillie HarrisBUF — GM John Butler

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart