S · pick 195 — first ever safety at #195 (1976)

S·pick 195

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #195

Williams, JackieJackie Williams

Drafted by BUF · Texas A&M

1976

safeties drafted at #195 in NFL history

most recent: Michael Hawthorne (NO, 2000)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a safety at #195 a 7.5% chance in 1976.

Safety at #195, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.5% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#189DTCassidy, SteveSteve CassidyCLE
#190LBJerry MuckensturmCHI
#191DECarl HairstonPHI
#193WRKarl FarmerATL
#194SChesley, JayJay ChesleySF
#196RBWellington, RodRod WellingtonKC

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2000Michael HawthorneNO — GM Randy Mueller · Purdue
1992Kurt SchulzBUF — GM Bill Polian · Eastern Washington

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