S · pick 187 — first ever safety at #187 (1979)

S·pick 187

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #187

Brown, KeithKeith Brown

Drafted by NYJ · Minnesota

1979

safeties drafted at #187 in NFL history

most recent: Michael Tyson (SEA, 2017)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a safety at #187 a 7.8% chance in 1979.

Safety at #187, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.2% · 2027 model: 5.4%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#182LBRich MilotWAS
#183OTCody RisienCLE
#184LBRich WingoGB
#185DEBunche, CurtisCurtis BunchePHI
#186OTWestlund, RogerRoger WestlundATL
#188STLuke PrestridgeDEN
#189STUwe von SchamannMIA
#190SJeff DelaneyLAR
#191LBFitzpatrick, GregGreg FitzpatrickDAL
#192OGBruce KimballPIT

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2017Michael TysonSEA — GM John Schneider · Cincinnati
2014Bennett JacksonNYG — GM Jerry Reese · Notre Dame
2012Josh BushNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum · Wake Forest
2000Antwan HarrisNE — GM Bill Belichick · Virginia
1988Tracey EatonTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Portland St.

→ see this cell on the full chart