Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 179

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #179

Tom Marvaso

Drafted by WAS · Cincinnati

1976

4
safeties drafted at #179 in NFL history
most recent: David Young (JAX, 2003)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a safety at #179 a 7.5% chance in 1976.

Safety at #179, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.9% 1976: 7.5%

Peak: 13.9% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart