S · pick 169 — first ever safety at #169 (2013)

S·pick 169

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #169

Josh Evans

Drafted by JAX — GM David Caldwell · Florida

2013

safeties drafted at #169 in NFL history

most recent: Kitan Oladapo (GB, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2012, the model gave a safety at #169 a 10.2% chance in 2013.

Safety at #169, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.6% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 2013 draft

#164RBMike GillisleeMIA — GM Jeff Ireland
#165STSam MartinDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#166STCaleb SturgisMIA — GM Jeff Ireland
#167DEJosh BoydGB — GM Ted Thompson
#168OTRicky WagnerBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#170CEric KushKC — GM John Dorsey
#171WRCorey FullerDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#172TENick KasaLV — GM Reggie McKenzie
#173OGVinston PainterDEN — GM John Elway
#174WRRyan SwopeARI — GM Steve Keim

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2024Kitan OladapoGB — GM Brian Gutekunst · Oregon St.
2021Richard LeCounteCLE — GM Andrew Berry · Georgia
2017Treston DecoudHOU — GM Rick Smith · Oregon St.

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