S · pick 164 — first ever safety at #164 (1983)

S·pick 164

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #164

Eric Williams

Drafted by PIT — GM Dick Haley · North Carolina St.

1983

safeties drafted at #164 in NFL history

most recent: Jamar Johnson (DEN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a safety at #164 a 6.1% chance in 1983.

Safety at #164, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.4% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#159WRMike JonesMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#160CRon SamsGB — GM Bart Starr
#161CGrant FeaselIND — GM Ernie Accorsi
#162QBReggie CollierDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#163RBVincent WhiteNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#165RBLarry KinnebrewCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#166OTBob WincklerWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#167STReggie RobyMIA — GM Don Shula
#168QBBabe LaufenbergWAS — GM Bobby Beathard
#169RBAlvin MooreIND — GM Ernie Accorsi

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2021Jamar JohnsonDEN — GM George Paton · Indiana
2018Natrell JamersonNO — GM Mickey Loomis · Wisconsin

→ see this cell on the full chart