S · pick 163 — first ever safety at #163 (1991)

S·pick 163

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #163

Todd Scott

Drafted by MIN — GM Jeff Diamond · Louisiana

1991

safeties drafted at #163 in NFL history

most recent: Darrick Forrest (WAS, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a safety at #163 a 7.9% chance in 1991.

Safety at #163, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.4% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

#158RBLeroy ThompsonPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#159TEDennis RansomWAS — GM Charley Casserly
#160SMike RileyNYJ — GM Dick Steinberg
#161RBDarren LewisCHI — GM Bill Tobin
#162CBDarrell MaloneKC — GM Carl Peterson
#164CJoe GartenGB — GM Tom Braatz
#165OTScott BowlesSF — GM John McVay
#166WRMillard HamiltonBUF — GM Bill Polian
#167LBCorey MillerNYG — GM George Young
#168CBlake MillerNE — GM Sam Jankovich

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2021Darrick ForrestWAS — GM Ron Rivera · Cincinnati
2010Reshad JonesMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Georgia

→ see this cell on the full chart