S · pick 159 — first ever safety at #159 (1970)

S·pick 159

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #159

Jake Scott

Drafted by MIA · Georgia

1970

safeties drafted at #159 in NFL history

most recent: K.J. Dillon (HOU, 2016)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a safety at #159 a 7.3% chance in 1970.

Safety at #159, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.5% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

#154CBAlvin WyattLV
#155OTKegler, ClarenceClarence KeglerPIT
#156OTRobert HewsKC
#157RBGriffin, DannyDanny GriffinPIT
#158OTBrennan, TerryTerry BrennanPHI
#160RBOdell LawsonNE
#161OTWayne FowlerBUF
#162CBTed ProvostLAR
#163CBLemar ParrishCIN
#164TEJim McFarlandARI

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2016K.J. DillonHOU — GM Rick Smith · West Virginia
2013Micah HydeGB — GM Ted Thompson · Iowa
2007C.J. GaddisPHI — GM Tom Heckert · Clemson
2002Andre LottWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato · Tennessee

→ see this cell on the full chart