S · pick 158 — first ever safety at #158 (1973)

S·pick 158

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #158

Bill Cahill

Drafted by NO · Washington

1973

safeties drafted at #158 in NFL history

most recent: Michael Taaffe (MIA, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a safety at #158 a 8.4% chance in 1973.

Safety at #158, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.5% · 2027 model: 5.3%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#153OTMyers, BrentBrent MyersLV
#154WRSkolnik, GlennGlenn SkolnikPIT
#155CRick HarrellNYJ
#156OGEd NewmanMIA
#157OTShelby JordanTEN
#159DEWilliam WynnPHI
#160LBKevin ReillyMIA
#161LBBrown, SteveSteve BrownLAR
#162LBBrian McConnellBUF
#163RBShepherd, BennyBenny ShepherdMIA

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

2026Michael TaaffeMIA · Texas
2023Daniel ScottIND — GM Chris Ballard · California
2011Jermale HinesLAR — GM Billy Devaney · Ohio St.
2006Charlie PeprahNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi · Alabama
2004Jason ShiversLAR — GM Charley Armey · Arizona St.
2001Ray PerrymanLV — GM Al Davis era · Northern Arizona
1992Terry RayATL — GM Ken Herock · Oklahoma
1976Curtis JordanTB · Texas Tech

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