S · pick 146 — first ever safety at #146 (1973)

S·pick 146

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #146

Bob Jones

Drafted by CIN · Virginia Union

1973

safeties drafted at #146 in NFL history

most recent: Jordan Howden (NO, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a safety at #146 a 8.2% chance in 1973.

Safety at #146, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.6% · 2027 model: 5.2%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#141WRCaldwell, JasonJason CaldwellLAR
#142OTNick BeboutATL
#143LBAbbott, FredFred AbbottMIN
#144OGTravis RoachNYJ
#145SDoug JonesKC
#146SBob JonesCIN
#147DTBrantley, WadeWade BrantleyNYG
#148SAndre, PhilPhil AndreARI
#149DTArthur MooreSF
#150SVan GreenCLE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2023Jordan HowdenNO — GM Mickey Loomis · Minnesota
2021Jamien SherwoodNYJ — GM Joe Douglas · Auburn
2018Tre FlowersSEA — GM John Schneider · Oklahoma St.
2011DeJon GomesWAS — GM Bruce Allen · Nebraska
2006Dawan LandryBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Georgia Tech
1980Mike DavisATL — GM Eddie LeBaron · Colorado

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