S · pick 13 — first ever safety at #13 (1973)

S·pick 13

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #13

Burgess Owens

Drafted by NYJ · Miami (FL)

1973

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a safety at #13 a 4.6% chance in 1973.

Safety at #13, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.3% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#8DEWally ChambersCHI
#9RBOtis ArmstrongDEN
#10DTJoe EhrmannIND
#11RBSam CunninghamNE
#12RBChuck ForemanMIN
#14RBGeorge AmundsonTEN
#15WRIsaac CurtisCIN
#16WRSteve HoldenCLE
#17DEErnie PriceDET
#18SMike HolmesSF

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

→ see this cell on the full chart