S · pick 121 — first ever safety at #121 (2006)

S·pick 121

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #121

Nate Salley

Drafted by CAR — GM Marty Hurney · Ohio St.

2006

safeties drafted at #121 in NFL history

most recent: Chris Prosinski (JAX, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2005, the model gave a safety at #121 a 10.0% chance in 2006.

Safety at #121, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.7% · 2027 model: 5.1%

Surrounding picks · 2006 draft

#116LBStephen TullochTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#117RBLeon WashingtonNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#118STStephen GostkowskiNE — GM Bill Belichick
#119WRBrandon MarshallDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#120LBJamar WilliamsCHI — GM Jerry Angelo
#122CBAlan ZemaitisTB — GM Bruce Allen
#123DTDomata PekoCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#124DTBarry CofieldNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#125WRSkyler GreenDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#126DEElvis DumervilDEN — GM Mike Shanahan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2011Chris ProsinskiJAX — GM Gene Smith · Wyoming

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