S · pick 120 — first ever safety at #120 (1992)

S·pick 120

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #120

Greg Briggs

Drafted by DAL — GM Jerry Jones · Texas Southern

1992

safeties drafted at #120 in NFL history

most recent: Craig Steltz (CHI, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1991, the model gave a safety at #120 a 8.6% chance in 1992.

Safety at #120, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.7% · 2027 model: 5.1%

Surrounding picks · 1992 draft

#115TECraig ThompsonCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#116LBDwayne SabbNE — GM Sam Jankovich
#117CCurtis WhitleyLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#118CBRogerick GreenTB — GM Phil Krueger
#119RBDexter McNabbGB — GM Ron Wolf
#121OGRod MilsteadDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#123CBAlan HallerPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#124OTChristopher PerezMIA — GM Don Shula
#125LBEd McDanielMIN — GM Roger Headrick
#126CBMichael WrightNYG — GM George Young

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2008Craig SteltzCHI — GM Jerry Angelo · LSU
2002Terreal BierriaSEA — GM Mike Holmgren · Georgia

→ see this cell on the full chart