Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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S·pick 12

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #12

Jim Smith

Drafted by WAS · Oregon

1968

3
safeties drafted at #12 in NFL history
most recent: Patrick Bates (LV, 1993)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Safety at #12, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.2%

Peak: 12.2% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 1968 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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