S · pick 104 — first ever safety at #104 (1987)

S·pick 104

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #104

Mark Moore

Drafted by SEA — GM Mike McCormack · Oklahoma St.

1987

safeties drafted at #104 in NFL history

most recent: Dadrion Taylor-Demerson (ARI, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1986, the model gave a safety at #104 a 8.1% chance in 1987.

Safety at #104, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.5% · 2027 model: 4.9%

Surrounding picks · 1987 draft

#99RBTroy StradfordMIA — GM Don Shula
#100CBNajee MustafaaMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#101DESean SmithCHI — GM Bill Tobin
#102SDerrick BeasleyNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#103TEJim RiggsCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#105LBMark DusbabekTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#106WRBruce HillTB — GM Phil Krueger
#107LBTim JordanNE — GM Patrick Sullivan
#108LBLarry KelmLAR — GM John Shaw
#109DELeon SealsBUF — GM Bill Polian

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

2024Dadrion Taylor-DemersonARI — GM Monti Ossenfort · Texas Tech
2020Terrell BurgessLAR — GM Les Snead · Utah
2015James SampleJAX — GM David Caldwell · Louisville
2005Travis DanielsMIA — GM Randy Mueller · LSU
1999Jason PerryLAC — GM Bobby Beathard · North Carolina St.
1996Eric AustinTB — GM Rich McKay · Jackson St.
1988Michael BallIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff · Southern

→ see this cell on the full chart