S · pick 102 — first ever safety at #102 (1980)

S·pick 102

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #102

Larry Flowers

Drafted by TB — GM Phil Krueger · Texas Tech

1980

safeties drafted at #102 in NFL history

most recent: Donald Washington (KC, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1979, the model gave a safety at #102 a 6.0% chance in 1980.

Safety at #102, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 13.4% · 2027 model: 4.9%

Surrounding picks · 1980 draft

#97DETerry DionSEA — GM John Thompson
#98LBDavid HodgeSF — GM John McVay
#99DTRon CrewsCLE — GM Art Modell/staff
#100WRElmer BaileyMIA — GM Don Shula
#101QBEd LutherLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#103OGArland ThompsonCHI — GM Jim Finks
#104RBI.M. HippATL — GM Eddie LeBaron
#105OGKurt PetersenDAL — GM Tex Schramm
#106TEChris CombsTEN — GM Bum Phillips
#107RBRick ParrosDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2009Donald WashingtonKC — GM Scott Pioli · Ohio St.
2006Calvin LowryTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Penn St.
2005Sean ConsidinePHI — GM Andy Reid · Iowa
1995Sam ShadeCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Alabama
1991Marcus RobertsonTEN — GM Mike Holovak · Iowa St.
1987Derrick BeasleyNE — GM Patrick Sullivan · Winston-Salem St.

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