S · pick 10 — first ever safety at #10 (1983)

S·pick 10

FIRST S EVER DRAFTED AT #10

Terry Kinard

Drafted by NYG — GM George Young · Clemson

1983

safeties drafted at #10 in NFL history

most recent: Rod Woodson (PIT, 1987)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1982, the model gave a safety at #10 a 3.7% chance in 1983.

Safety at #10, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.4% · 2027 model: 3.3%

Surrounding picks · 1983 draft

#5LBBilly Ray SmithLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#6OTJimbo CovertCHI — GM Jerry Vainisi
#7QBTodd BlackledgeKC — GM Jim Schaaf
#8RBMichael HaddixPHI — GM Jim Murray
#9OGBruce MatthewsTEN — GM Ladd Herzeg
#11CBTim LewisGB — GM Bart Starr
#12TETony HunterBUF — GM Stew Barber
#13RBJames JonesDET — GM Russ Thomas
#14QBJim KellyBUF — GM Stew Barber
#15QBTony EasonNE — GM Patrick Sullivan

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

1987Rod WoodsonPIT — GM Dick Haley · Purdue

→ see this cell on the full chart