RB · pick 86 — first ever running back at #86 (1975)

RB·pick 86

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #86

Allen Carter

Drafted by NE · USC

1975

RBs drafted at #86 in NFL history

most recent: Zack Moss (BUF, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1974, the model gave a running back at #86 a 14.0% chance in 1975.

Running back at #86, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.1% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 1975 draft

#80WRMarshall JohnsonIND
#81OGJohn NesselATL
#82CBTony PetersCLE
#83CBVirgil LiversCHI
#85DECleveland ElamSF
#87CBFrank OliverSF
#88SSteve LukeGB
#89RBHarold HensonMIN
#90DEPat DonovanDAL
#91WRSteve BurksNE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2020Zack MossBUF — GM Brandon Beane · Utah
2017Kareem HuntKC — GM John Dorsey · Toledo
2015David JohnsonARI — GM Steve Keim · Northern Iowa
1999Shawn BrysonBUF — GM John Butler · Tennessee
1995Joe AskaLV — GM Al Davis era · Central Oklahoma
1979Russell DavisPIT · Michigan

→ see this cell on the full chart