RB · pick 83 — first ever running back at #83 (1967)

RB·pick 83

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #83

Carl Ward

Drafted by CLE · Michigan

1967 · earliest year in the data window

RBs drafted at #83 in NFL history

most recent: Kaleb Johnson (PIT, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Running back at #83, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.1% · 2027 model: 6.6%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#78CBJohn RowserGB
#79CDel WilliamsNO
#80RBBen HartNO
#81STRon WidbyNO
#82DTLouis ThompsonNYG
#84OTBob GreenleeMIA
#85DECarl CunninghamDEN
#86OTCarel StithTEN
#87CBAlvin ColemanMIN
#88DELew KamanuDET

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2025Kaleb JohnsonPIT — GM Omar Khan · Iowa
2024Blake CorumLAR — GM Les Snead · Michigan
1996Jerald MooreLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt · Oklahoma
1994James BosticLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt · Auburn
1969Clem TurnerCIN · Cincinnati

→ see this cell on the full chart