RB · pick 78 — first ever running back at #78 (1969)

RB·pick 78

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #78

Rich Johnson

Drafted by TEN · Illinois

1969

RBs drafted at #78 in NFL history

most recent: Terry Kirby (MIA, 1993)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Running back at #78, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 24.1% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 1969 draft

#73STerry BrownARI
#74DTHalvor HagenDAL
#75TELloyd EdwardsLV
#76TEMorris StroudKC
#77OTDennis NelsonIND
#79OTMike RicheyBUF
#80OGBob KuechenbergPHI
#81TEJames MitchellATL
#82RBBob CampbellPIT
#83RBClem TurnerCIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

1993Terry KirbyMIA — GM Don Shula · Virginia
1987Jamie MuellerBUF — GM Bill Polian · Benedictine

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