RB · pick 5 — first ever running back at #5 (1978)

RB·pick 5

FIRST RB EVER DRAFTED AT #5

Terry Miller

Drafted by BUF · Oklahoma State

1978

RBs drafted at #5 in NFL history

most recent: Cadillac Williams (TB, 2005)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a running back at #5 a 17.1% chance in 1978.

Running back at #5, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 41.3% · 2027 model: 3.5%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#1RBEarl CampbellTEN
#2DEArt StillKC
#3WRWes ChandlerNO
#4OTChris WardNYJ
#6WRJames LoftonGB
#7TEKen MacAfeeSF
#8DERoss BrownerCIN
#9CBKeith SimpsonSEA
#10OTGordon KingNYG

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2005Cadillac WilliamsTB — GM Bruce Allen · Auburn
2001LaDainian TomlinsonLAC — GM John Butler · TCU
2000Jamal LewisBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome · Tennessee
1999Ricky WilliamsNO — GM Mike Ditka · Texas
1998Curtis EnisCHI — GM Mark Hatley · Penn St.
1980Curtis DickeyIND — GM Dick Szymanski · Texas A&M

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